DON'T PANIC!
"During the course of the 20thcentury, mankind's relationship with nature underwent a revolution. At the beginning of the last century, human intervention in nature was regarded as beneficent and a sign of progress of civilization. By its end, such interventions were presumed harmful unless it could be demonstrated they were not."
Rupert Darwall,The Age of Global Warming1
In 2019, a 16-year-old Swedish activist, Greta Thunberg, was invited to give a speech at a UN climate change conference."People are suffering. People are dying. Entire ecosystems are collapsing. We are in the beginning of a mass extinction. And all you can talk about is money and fairy tales of eternal economic growth. How dare you!"2The audience seemed to enjoy being criticized by a little girl and rewarded her with applause. But did she really do her homework to get her facts straight?
The average world GDP per capita increased ten times between 1820 and 2010.3This economic growth is the reason why poverty has mostly been eradicated, not only in Europe. World poverty rates (including the developing countries) fell from about 85% to about 25% between 1820 and 1990.4This is no fairy tale. And all of that was happening in a period of global warming and rising sea level.
Global warming has been occurring, with some interruptions, since the Thirty Years' War. In the 20thcentury, the planet warmed by about 0.8°C, and the same warming can be expected in the 21stcentury. Is this increase in temperature really the reason for disruption, hunger, misery, and devastation, as we hear daily in the media?
Between 1975 and 2005, there was a rise in average temperatures with food prices falling by 75% over this period.5While 991 million people suffered from malnutrition in developing countries in 1991, it was only 780 million in 2015, despite world population growth over the same period of time. Thus, global warming had no net negative impact on food production. Temporary deterioration occurred only in the era of biofuel boom, when the number of starving people rose y-o-y for several years (from 908 million in 2001 to 927 million in 2006).6However, this trend was not caused by climate change; in fact, it was caused by the misguided efforts to fight climate.
So why does the UN depict the world in such bleak colors?"The gap between the poorest and the wealthiest around the world is wide and is growing," UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon lamented on the growth of inequality.7However, this gap is not growing because some people are doing worse and worse. The opposite is true. This is happening because some have already been liberated from poverty, whereas others have not. Two hundred years ago, the richest states' average incomes were only four times higher than in the poorest states. But by the end of the 20thcentury, it was 30-fold higher.8This inequality is the difference between a grass hut somewhere in Africa and a skyscraper in New York.
Moreover, the term poverty today means something else than envisaged centuries ago. In the Czech Republic, people are considered"poor" if they have les