: Robert O'Neill, Jeff Ralph, Paul A. Smith
: Inflation History and Measurement
: Palgrave Macmillan
: 9783319641256
: 1
: CHF 114.00
:
: Volkswirtschaft
: English
: 390
: Wasserzeichen/DRM
: PC/MAC/eReader/Tablet
: PDF

This book is an introduction to the history of - and current measurement practice of - inflation for the United Kingdom. The authors describe the historical development of inflation measures in a global context, and do so without using formal mathematical language and related jargon that relates only to a few specialist scholars. Although inflation is a widely used and quoted statistic, and despite the important role inflation plays in real people's lives - through pension uprating, train tickets, interest rates and the work of economists - few people understand how it is created. O'Neill, Ralph and Smith mix historical data with a description of practices inside the UK statistical system and abroad, which will aid understanding of how this important economic statistic is produced, and the important and controversial choices that statisticians have made over time.



Robert O'Neill is Lecturer at the University of Huddersfield, UK, where he has been since 2013. Previously he worked at the Office for National Statistics working primarily in the area of index numbers methodology. His current role includes both research and teaching related to quantitative economics, which includes teaching students at various levels.

Jeff Ralph has worked for the Office for National Statistics, UK, for 13 years. Much of that time has been spent working on price statistics and the measurement of inflation; this has included research and teaching. Jeff has been joint author on a number of research papers and lead author on a recent student textbook on index numbers.

Paul A. Smith is Associate Professor in Official Statistics, University of Southampton, UK. He worked for 25 years in the Office for National Statistics, UK, where he gained extensive experience in the theory and practice of sample surveys applied to businesses, households and the population census. He undertakes consultancy and research in topics related to official statistics, and coordinates the MSc in Official Statistics.

Inflation2
Preface5
Acknowledgements12
Contents14
List of Figures20
List of Tables21
1 Introduction23
1.1Price Levels and the Value of Money25
1.1.1Inflation as an Economic Indicator26
1.1.2Inflation as Affecting Businesses26
1.1.3Inflation as Affecting Individuals27
1.1.4The Development of Inflation Adjustment30
1.2Measuring Inflation32
1.2.1The Early Development of Inflation Measures33
1.2.2The First Half of the Twentieth Century33
1.2.3Towards a Modern Measure of Inflation34
1.2.4Changes in the Methodology36
1.2.5Reviews and Housing37
1.3The Future of Inflation Measurement39
1.4The Long Road to the Current State39
References40
2 What Is Inflation?43
2.1Why Does Inflation Matter?44
2.2The Language of Inflation44
2.3The Role of Inflation in Monetary Economics46
2.4Is Inflation Bad?48
2.4.1The Rise of Monetarism51
2.4.2Hyperinflation54
2.5Some Questions About Inflation56
2.6The Common Uses of Inflation58
2.7Why Is an Accurate Measure of Inflation Important?60
2.8Perceptions of Inflation60
2.8.1Investigating Perceptions of Inflation61
2.8.2Personal Inflation Calculators62
2.8.3German Index of Perceived Inflation62
2.8.4Official vs. Perceived62
2.8.5Variations of Inflation Across Households63
References63
3 The Origins of Inflation Measurement: 1700–187966
3.1Overview67
3.2Measuring Price Changes68
3.3The Origins of the Basket69
3.4Early Price Index Formulae—Dutot and Carli72
3.5Indexation in 1780—The American War of Independence73
3.6An Early Attempt at Measuring Price Levels Over Time74
3.7The Quality of Price Information and the Use of Weights76
3.8Towards a Solid Foundation77
3.9A Geometric Approach80
3.10Laspeyres, Paasche and Drobisch81
3.11Early Price Data83
3.12The Development of Official Bodies for Price Statistics84
3.13The Pace of Development85
References86
4 What Is a Price Index?89
4.1Defining a Price Index, Inflation and Index Numbers89
4.2The Potential Inputs to Index Numbers Calculation92
4.3Some Popular Index Numbers Formulae93
4.3.1The Index Number problem93
4.3.2Unweighted Index Numbers95
4.3.3Weighted Index Numbers97
4.3.4Symmetrically Weighted Index Number Formulae101
4.3.5Returning to the Index Number Problem104
4.4Differences in the Estimation of Inflation106
4.5Conclusions108
References109
5 The Development of the Cost of Living Index: 1880 to 1946111
5.1Price and Expenditure Series Before 1880113
5.1.1Price Information113
5.1.2Early Official and Private Inquiries into Household Expenditure114
5.2The Political Imperative116
5.3The Board of Trade Enquiries of 1903117
5.3.1Report 1: Wholesale and Retail Prices117
5.3.2Report 2: British and Foreign Trade and Industrial Conditions (Cd 1761)118
5.3.2.1 Expenditure on Food119
5.3.2.2 Clothing and Rent121
5.3.3An Early Cost of Living Index Series121
5.4The 1904 Household Expenditure Survey123
5.4.1The Sample and the Data Collection124
5.4.2Items of Food125
5.4.3Rent, Clothing, Fuel and Light126
5.4.4Cost of Living Index Numbers129
5.5The 1908 Report—Report of an Enquiry into Working-Class Rents, Housing and Retail Prices130
5.5.1Rents132
5.5.2Prices for Food and Fuel132
5.5.3Creation of Index Numbers132
5.6The 1913 Report—Report of an Enquiry into Working-Class Rents and Retail Prices133
5.6.1Changes in Prices Across Regions134
5.6.2Extended Price Index Numbers135
5.7First World War138
5.7.1Cost of Living During the War138
5.7.2The Sumner Committee139
5.8The Methodology of the Cost of Living Index Numbers141
5.8.1The Purpose of the Index141
5.8.2The Expenditure Weights142
5.8.3Price Collection142
5.9Indexing Arrangements After the War144
5.10The Second World War146
5.11Conclusions147
References148
6 The Development of the Retail Prices Index: 1947–1989151
6.1Overview151
6.2After the War152
6.3The Cost of Living Advisory Committee154
6.4The Interim Index of Retail Prices156