: Daniel Wagner, Dante Disparte
: Global Risk Agility and Decision Making Organizational Resilience in the Era of Man-Made Risk
: Palgrave Macmillan
: 9781349948604
: 1
: CHF 52.50
:
: Betriebswirtschaft
: English
: 415
: Wasserzeichen/DRM
: PC/MAC/eReader/Tablet
: PDF

InGlobal Risk Agility and Decision Making, Daniel Wagner and Dante Disparte, two leading authorities in global risk management, make a compelling case for the need to bring traditional approaches to risk management and decision making into the twenty-first century. Based on their own deep and multi-faceted experience in risk management across numerous firms in dozens of countries, the authors call for a greater sense of urgency from corporate boards, decision makers, line managers, policymakers, and risk practitioners to address and resolve the plethora of challenges facing today’s private and public sector organizations.

Set against theera of manmade risk, where transnational terrorism, cyber risk, and climate change are making traditional risk models increasingly obsolete, they argue that remaining passively on the side-lines of the global economy is dangerous, and that understanding and actively engaging the world is central to achieving risk agility. Theirdefinition of risk agility taps into the survival and risk-taking instincts of the entrepreneur while establishing an organizational imperative focused on collective survival.

The agile risk manager is part sociologist, anthropologist, psychologist, and quant. Risk agility implies not treating risk as a cost of doing business, but as a catalyst for growth. Wagner and Disparte bring the concept of risk agility to life through a series of case studies that cut across industries, countries and the public and private sectors. The rich, real-world examples underscore how once mighty organizations can be brought to their knees—and even their demise by simple miscalculations or a failure to just do the right thing. The reader is offered deep insights into specific risk domains that are shaping our world, including terrorism, cyber risk, climate change, and economic resource nationalism, as well as a frame of reference from which to think about risk management and decision making in ourincreasingly complicated world.

This easily digestible book will shed new light on the often complex discipline of risk management. Readers will learn how risk management is being transformed from abusiness prevention function to avalues-based framework for thriving in increasingly perilous times. From tackling governance structures and thetone at the top to advocating for greater transparency and adherence to value systems, this book will establish a new generation of risk leader, with clarion voices calling for greater risk agility. The rise of agile decision makers coincides with greater resilience and responsiveness in the era of manmade risk.



Preface8
The Illusion of Effective Risk Management9
The Unforeseen Versus the Unknown10
Acknowledgements14
Dante Disparte14
Daniel Wagner15
Contents16
About the Authors18
Dante Disparte18
Daniel Wagner19
Praise for Global Risk Agility and Decision Making22
List of Abbreviations26
List of Illustrations30
List of Tables32
Part I: The Risk Management Conundrum33
1: Risk Management in a Global World34
Declaring Battle34
The Global Risk Landscape35
Evolving Perceptions of Risk38
Preparing for Global Shocks41
Taking a Broader View of Risk43
Global Risk Agility45
2: Risk Management as a Process48
Risk Is a Process Not an Event48
Current Frameworks and Their Utility51
Classical Risk Management Frameworks53
Matching Process with Process55
Evolving Over Time57
Risk in the Asset-less Economy58
Complex Systems Fail in Complex Ways61
Agile Risk Control65
Gaining Agility and Speed67
3: The Risk Continuum71
Out of Sample Events: Hurricanes72
Macro Agility in Panama74
Anti-Risk Agility: Neglect, Bankruptcy, and Crime in the Caribbean76
How Kings Fall79
Cities at Risk80
Reputation Risk Has a Price84
Anything in the Name of Growth85
Municipal and Sovereign Risk87
A New Host for Systemic Risk89
A National CRO93
In Search of Causality While Ignoring Change94
4: Complexity Reduction97
Sunlight Is the Greatest Disinfectant98
The First and Last Line of Defense102
Values in Action107
Primordial Lesson110
Tempering Values with Risk Taking111
Absence of Evidence112
Analysis Paralysis113
Entrepreneurialism114
Complexity, Capital, and Supply Chains117
Simplicity Is the Key119
5: Three-Dimensional Risk Management125
One-Dimensional Risk Management and the Placebo Effect127
Agile Risk Culture133
Assessing Risk Culture134
Lessons from Entrepreneurs135
Unequal Resilience137
Risk Agility Meets Mobility138
Mobility Curtailed140
Expatriate Risk141
Antiagile142
Part II: The Global Risk Labyrinth146
6: Terrorism147
A Globalization Backlash147
The Importance of Perceptions150
Some Surprising Terrorism Facts152
The Economic Cost of Terrorism155
Cost-Effective Terrorism157
The Impact of Terrorism on Foreign Direct Investment159
Why It Is so Difficult to Stop the Funding of the IS166
What the IS Is Teaching the West About Social Media169
Implications for Business171
7: Economic and Resource Nationalism173
Economic Nationalism’s Rise173
Bolivia’s Indigenous President175
Argentina’s History Lesson178
A New Era for Papua New Guinea?180
It Takes Two to (Con)Tango181
Systemic Corruption Creates Risk183
Lessons Unlearned183
Pakistan’s Message to Foreign Investors185
A Bad Deal185
Extractive Enterprises Are Particularly Vulnerable186
Lessons Learned187
The Impact of Energy Resources on Bilateral Relations188
Myanmar’s Strategic Energy Play188
You Can’t Always Get What You Want189
The Lady and the Dragon190
Beating the West at Its Own Game191
China and the Rule of Law192
Do Sanctions Actually Work?194
How Sanctions Can Backfire196
Conclusion199
8: Climate Change201
De-risking Climate Change206
The Readiness Dilemma209
A Private Sector Response216
A Return on Misfortune218
For Rising Tides, Deeper Pools220
9: Cyber Risk226
Business Models for Ransom228
Cyber Terrorism229
Time for a Cyber FDIC232
The Internet of Things235
Flash Crash…and Burn239
The Perfect Storm242
Blurred Lines243
Agile Threat … Agile Response244
Is Cyber Risk to Be Feared or Respected?245
10: Corporate Social Responsibility248
Shades of Grey248
Governing Principles250
CSR and Globalization251
The Social Risk Landscape253
Managing Strategic Partnerships255
CSR and Shareholder Value256
What Consumers Really Want258
Challenges Companies Can Bring Upon Themselves261
GE261
Pepsi262
Promoting Social Responsibility in the Developing World264
The Project Finance Challenge264
The Importance of CSR265
Public/Private Sector Collaboration267
Information Sharing267
The Path Forward268
Conclusion269
11: Country Risk Management271
Defining Country Risk271
Country vs Sovereign vs Political Risk272
Effective Country Risk Management in the New Normal274