| Part I. State and Changes in Dryland East Asia | 27 |
|---|
| 1 State and Change of Dryland East Asia (DEA) | 29 |
| 1.1 Geography, Demography and Economics in DEA | 29 |
| 1.2 Climate and Land-Use Changes | 36 |
| 1.3 Ecosystem Production and Evapotranspiration | 40 |
| 1.4 Scientific and Societal Challenges for Adaptations in DEA | 42 |
| References | 46 |
| 2 Dryland East Asia in Hemispheric Context | 49 |
| 2.1 Study Regions | 49 |
| 2.2 Change Analysis of Vegetated Land Surface | 51 |
| 2.3 Retrospective Trend Analysis Reveals Areas of Significant Change | 52 |
| 2.4 Vegetation Change in Three Epochs | 53 |
| 2.5 Land Cover Variation and Change | 56 |
| 2.6 Precipitation Variation and Change | 60 |
| 2.7 Conclusion | 64 |
| References | 65 |
| 3 NEESPI and MAIRS Programs in Dryland East Asia | 71 |
| 3.1 Introduction | 71 |
| 3.2 Contrast and Comparison | 73 |
| 3.2.1 The Programs | 73 |
| 3.2.2 Research Approaches | 74 |
| 3.2.3 Organization Structure | 75 |
| 3.2.4 Major Research Activities | 75 |
| 3.3 Major Findings and Achievements | 76 |
| 3.3.1 Understanding Climate Change | 76 |
| 3.3.2 Understanding Societal Consequences | 77 |
| 3.3.3 Understanding Ecosystem Impacts | 79 |
| 3.3.4 Institutional Responses to Environmental Change | 80 |
| 3.3.5 Understanding Challenges | 80 |
| 3.4 Conclusions | 82 |
| References | 83 |
| 4 Land Use and Land Cover Change in Dryland East Asia | 87 |
| 4.1 Introduction | 88 |
| 4.2 Global Land Use Changes through Centuries | 91 |
| 4.3 Long-Term Changes in Cropland and Pastureland in DEA | 92 |
| 4.4 Recent Changes in Asian Drylands | 94 |
| 4.4.1 Rangeland Degradation and Desertification and Increased Cropland | 94 |
| 4.4.2 Grassland Recovery | 98 |
| 4.4.3 Reforestation/Afforestation | 98 |
| 4.5 Sahel Land Use Change | 100 |
| References | 104 |
| 5 Urban Expansion and Environment Change in Dryland East Asia | 107 |
| 5.1 Introduction | 107 |
| 5.2 Study Area, Data, and Methodology | 109 |
| 5.2.1 Study Area | 109 |
| 5.2.2 Data and Methodology | 111 |
| 5.3 Findings | 112 |
| 5.3.1 Urban Expansion | 113 |
| 5.3.2 Environment Impact | 116 |
| 5.4 Case of ¨Ur¨umqi | 118 |
| 5.4.1 Spatio-Temporal Change in Ürümqi | 118 |
| 5.4.2 Environment Challenges of Ürümqi | 120 |
| 5.5 Discussion | 122 |
| 5.5.1 Characteristics of Urbanization in Arid Regions | 122 |
| 5.5.2 Socio-Economic Factors Driving Urbanization | 123 |
| 5.6 Conclusions | 125 |
| References | 126 |
| 6 Ecosystem Carbon Cycle under Changing Atmosphere, Climate and Land Use in Dryland East Asia | 131 |
| 6.1 Introduction | 131 |
| 6.2 Simulated Ecosystem Carbon Patterns in DEA | 132 |
| 6.3 Responses of Ecosystem Carbon Cycling to Atmospheric Change | 136 |
| 6.3.1 CO2 Enrichment | 136 |
| 6.3.2 Nitrogen Deposition and Its Impact on DEA Ecosystems | 137 |
| 6.4 Responses of Ecosystem Carbon Cycling to Climate Change | 138 |
| 6.4.1 Responses to Precipitation Changes | 138 |
| 6.4.2 Responses to Temperature Changes | 139 |
| 6.5 Responses of Ecosystem Carbon Cycling to Land Use and Land Cover Changes | 140 |
| 6.6 Interactions among Environmental Changes | 141 |
| 6.6.1 Limitation of Nitrogen Availability on CO2 Impacts | 141 |
| 6.6.2 Dependence of Nitrogen Effects on Water Status (Precipitation Regimes) | 142 |
| 6.6.3 Interaction between Temperature (Warming) and Water Availability (Precipitation) | 142 |
| 6.6.4 Relationship and Interactions between Land Use and Climate Changes on Ecosystem Carbon Cycling | 143 |
| 6.7 Carbon Sequestration Potential and Human Adaption to Climate Change | 144 |
| References | 144 |
| 7 Dynamics of Vegetation Productivity in Dryland East Asia from 1982 to 2010 | 151 |
| 7.1 Introduction | 151 |
| 7.2 Data and Methods | 153 |
| 7.2.1 AVHRR NDVI | 153 |
| 7.2.2 MODIS NDVI | 154 |
| 7.2.3 Land Cover Map | 155 |
| 7.2.4 MERRA Reanalysis Data | 155 |
| 7.2.5 Agricultural Statistics | 155 |
| 7.2.6 Statistical Analysis | 157 |
| 7.3 Results and Discussion | 157 |
| 7.3.1 Trends of Spatially-Averaged NDVI | 157 |
| 7.3.2 Spatial Patterns of NDVI Trends | 161 |
| 7.3.3 Climatic Drivers | 163 |
| 7.3.4 Other Drivers | 165 |
| 7.4 Conclusions |