: John L Casti
: Mood Matters From Rising Skirt Lengths to the Collapse of World Powers
: Copernicus
: 9783642048357
: 1
: CHF 25.60
:
: Volkswirtschaft
: English
: 250
: Wasserzeichen/DRM
: PC/MAC/eReader/Tablet
: PDF

'Mood Matters' makes the radical assertion that all social events ranging from fashions in music and art to the rise and fall of civilizations are biased by the attitudes a society holds toward the future. When the 'social mood' is positive and people look forward to the future, events of an entirely different character tend to occur than when society is pessimistic. The book presents many examples from every walk of life in support of this argument. In addition, methods are given to actually measure the social mood and to project it into the future in order to forecast what's likely or not over varying periods of time. Casti's writing is a pleasure to read and its contents an eye-opener.

'They [the chapters] tell an engrossing story, and the mystery heightens as it goes. . . . it's chatty and knowing.' Greg Benford, Physicist and science-fiction writer, author of 'Timescape' and 'Deep Time'
'I am struck by how thought-provoking it all is. I am sure that your book will draw a lot of attention' Tor Norretranders, Science writer, author of 'The Generous Man' and 'The User Illusion'.



John L. Casti is a Senior Research Scholar at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Laxenburg, Austria, where he works on the development of early-warning methods for extreme events in human society. He is also the co-founder of The Kenos Circle, a Vienna-based society for exploration of the future, and author of the previous bestselling volumes, Paradigms Lost, Would-Be Worlds and The Cambridge Quintet. He lives in Vienna.

Preface7
Credits and Permissions11
Overview12
Contents19
Chapter 1 The Unconventional Wisdom21
Reaching for the Sky21
The Art of the Possible25
From Globalization to Localization28
A Revolution in the Making?31
The Big Questions34
Chapter 2 Why ``Stuff'' Happens41
The Start of Something Big41
Getting into the Mood44
Madness, Memes, and Moods46
Moods and Memetics in Action49
The Connections That Count52
Mood Meters60
Does Culture Matter?73
A Preemptive Strike on Event Causality75
Let's Review the Bidding83
Chapter 3 Why Hits Happen85
Paint It Black85
Hollywood Hits and Broadway Nights94
The Sound Goes On102
The Sporting Life105
Mind--Body Problems108
Pop Goes the Culture115
Chapter 4 Why Wars, Economic Cycles, and Political Crises Happen121
A Tide in the Affairs of Nations121
The Business of Business130
Let's Make a Deal139
Throw the Bums Out142
Chapter 5 Why Great Powers Come and Go149
The Long Wave Goodbye---and Hello149
War and Pieces152
Cycling Through History154
The Decline and Fall of the European Union160
BRICs or Bric-a-Brac?167
What About America?176
The Really Long View180
Chapter 6 Getting It Together183
Polishing the Crystal Ball183
Life Goes On185
Correlations, Causes, and Chance190
The Anticipation Machine194
The End of a Trend210
How Now, Mr. Dow?213
Not-So-New Wavers218
Science Fiction or Science Fact?221
Into the Abyss---and Back Out Again224
APPENDICES231
Appendix A: Elliott Wave Analysis231
Appendix B: A Socionomics Research Program241
Social Mood243
Social Behavior244
Modeling244
Funding244
References245
General References245
Overview246
Chapter 1: The 246
248246
Chapter 2: Why ``Stuff'' Happens249
Chapter 3: Why Hits Happen254
Chapter 4: Why Wars, Economic Cycles, and Political Crises Happen255
Chapter 5: Why Great Powers Come and Go256
Chapter 6: Getting256
261256
Index267