| Preface | 4 |
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| Contents | 5 |
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| List of Figures | 7 |
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| List of Tables | 8 |
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| 1 Introduction | 9 |
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| Part I Theory of Economic Growth | 14 |
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| 2 Neoclassical Growth Theory and Standard Models | 15 |
| 2.1 From Classical to Neoclassical Growth Theory | 15 |
| 2.2 The Basic Outline of Neoclassical Growth Models | 18 |
| 2.3 The Solution with Technological Progress and a Cobb-Douglas Production Function | 21 |
| 2.4 Human Capital as an Additional Factor of Production | 24 |
| 3 Growth Models with Spatial Externalities | 29 |
| 3.1 A Neoclassical Growth Model with Identical Steady States | 29 |
| 3.2 A Neoclassical Growth Model with Different Steady States | 31 |
| 4 Convergence: Theory and Evidence | 35 |
| 4.1 Convergence and Disparities of National Economies | 36 |
| 4.2 The Formal Derivation of a Convergence Equation | 40 |
| 4.3 Empirical Tests of Convergence, Conclusions and Unsolved Questions | 44 |
| Part II A Model of Regional Growth | 48 |
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| 5 Remarks on Regional Growth | 50 |
| 5.1 Agglomeration Effects, Increasing Returns and Polarisation | 50 |
| 5.2 Reconsidering Saving and Gross Investment | 53 |
| 5.3 Foreign Capital, Its Mobility and the Role of Human Capital | 55 |
| 6 Structure of the Model | 58 |
| 6.1 Definitions and Assumptions | 58 |
| 6.2 The Production Function | 60 |
| 6.3 Changes of Inputs to Production | 64 |
| 7 Evolution of Factors and Output | 69 |
| 7.1 Steady States | 69 |
| 7.2 Simulation Results | 72 |
| 7.3 Formal Derivations | 79 |
| 8 Implications for Output Growth | 82 |
| 8.1 Taylor Approximation | 82 |
| 8.2 Solution for Output Growth | 85 |
| 8.3 Summary and Outlook | 88 |
| Part III Empirics | 91 |
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| 9 Regions, Variables and Data | 92 |
| 9.1 Observation Units, Observation Period and Distance Measures | 92 |
| 9.2 Variables | 95 |
| 9.3 An Illustration of Recent Developments | 99 |
| 10 Spatial Econometric Specification and Estimation | 106 |
| 10.1 Spatial Econometric Models | 106 |
| 10.2 The Model Specification | 108 |
| 10.3 Maximum Likelihood Estimation | 110 |
| 11 Testing the Theoretical Model | 112 |
| 11.1 Results | 112 |
| 11.2 Interpretation and Concluding Remarks | 115 |
| 12 Summary | 118 |
| Appendices | 121 |
| Appendix 1: Regions of the Observation Area | 121 |
| Appendix 2: Supplementary EconometricResults | 124 |
| Appendix 3: Intra-state Developments1995 to 2004 | 126 |
| Appendix 4: List of Symbols | 129 |
| References | 132 |