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Residential Location Choice Models and Applications

:	Francesca Pagliara, John Preston, David Simmonds
:	Francesca Pagliara, John Preston, David Simmonds
:	Residential Location Choice Models and Applications
:	Springer-Verlag
:	9783642127885
:	1
:	CHF 85.20
:

:	Volkswirtschaft
:	English

:	252
:	Wasserzeichen/DRM
:	PC/MAC/eReader/Tablet
:	PDF

The effective planning of residential location choices is one of the great challenges of contemporary societies and requires forecasting capabilities and the consideration of complex interdependencies which can only be handled by complex computer models. This book presents a range of approaches used to model residential locations within the context of developing land-use and transport models. These approaches illustrate the range of choices that modellers have to make in order to represent residential choice behaviour. The models presented in this book represent the state-of-the-art and are valuable both as key building blocks for general urban models, and as representative examples of complexity science.

Francesca Pagliara is Assistant Professor at the Department of Transportation Engineering of the University of Naples Federico II John Preston is Professor at the Transportation Research Group, School of Civil Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton David Simmonds is a Director of David Simmonds Consultancy Ltd, Cambridge, England

	Contents	6
	Contributors	8
	The State-of-the-Art in Building Residential Location Models	10
	1 Introduction	10
	1.1 Theory and Method	12
	1.2 Categorisation of Residential Decision Makers	13
	1.3 Treatment of Space	13
	2 Models Described in This Book	14
	References	26
	Stated Preference Examination of Factors Influencing Residential Attraction	30
	1 Introduction	30
	2 Survey	31
	2.1 Survey Interview Design	31
	2.2 Conducting the Survey	35
	2.3 Resulting Sample as Representation of Population	35
	3 Analysis Approach	36
	3.1 Logit Model Form and Statistics	36
	4 Results	39
	4.1 Presentation Format	39
	4.2 All Households	39
	4.3 Relative Influence of Elements for All Households	47
	4.4 Low Income Households	48
	4.5 High Income Households	51
	4.6 Households with Children Under 18-Years Old	53
	4.7 Other Sub-samples of Households	53
	5 Conclusions	55
	5.1 Validity of Results	55
	5.2 Principal Findings	56
	5.3 Further Work	58
	Appendix: Estimation Results	59
	References	68
	DRAM Residential Location and Land Use Model: 40 Years of Development and Application	69
	1 Introduction	69
	2 The Residential Location Model: DRAM	70
	3 Location Surplus as an Output Measure from DRAM	73
	4 Procedures for Calculation of Land Consumption: LANCON	74
	5 Model Calibration	75
	6 Asymptotic t-Statistics in DRAM Calibrations	77
	7 Location Elasticities for DRAM and EMPAL	77
	8 The Consistent Imposition of Constraints on Location	79
	9 Linked Transportation and Land Use Model Runs	80
	10 Concluding Thoughts	81
	References	83
	The DELTA Residential Location Model	85
	1 Objectives and Scope of the DELTA Package	85
	2 The DELTA Sub-models	86
	3 Specification of the Residential Location Model	87
	3.1 Scope of the Residential Location Sub-model	87
	3.2 The Households To Be Located	88
	3.3 Specification of the Model: Location Equations	89
	3.4 Floorspace Variables	90
	3.5 Location Sub-model: Households´ Change in Utility of Location	91
	3.6 Utility of Consumption Variables	92
	3.7 Accessibility Variables	93
	3.8 Environmental Variables	94
	3.9 Quality Variables	94
	3.10 Solution Process	95
	4 Calibration and Validation of the Residential Location Model	95
	4.1 Approach	95
	4.2 Sources Used	95
	5 Application of the Residential Location Model	96
	5.1 Completed Applications	96
	6 Example Results	97
	6.1 Introduction	97
	6.2 Housing Policy Impacts	97
	6.3 Transport Policy Impacts	100
	7 Recent and Current Developments	101
	7.1 Treatment of Travel Costs	102
	7.2 Representing Different Categories of New Housing	102
	7.3 Modelling Short-Distance Moves	102
	7.4 Other Developments	103
	8 Conclusion	103
	References	104
	The MUSSA II Land Use Auction Equilibrium Model	106
	1 Introduction	106
	2 The Consumers´ Behaviour	108
	3 The Equilibrium Problem	109
	4 The Probabilistic Bid-Auction Sub-model	112
	5 Real Estate Supply Sub-model	114
	6 Equilibrium	115
	7 Modelling Constraints on Behaviour	116
	8 The Equilibrium Equation Systems	117
	9 Application	118
	References	120
	The Impact of Transport Policy on Residential Location	121
	1 Introduction	122
	1.1 Review of Previous Study	123
	1.2 Empirical Framework	124
	2 Model Calibration and Validation	125
	2.1 Model Specification and Calibration	125
	2.2 Estimation Results and Validation	126
	2.3 Comparison Between Actual and Estimated Probabilities	128
	2.4 Application of the Hedonic Price Model to the Study Area	132
	3 Model Application and Policy Simulation	133
	3.1 Road User Charge	135
	3.2 Fuel Duty Increase	136
	3.3 Fuel Duty Decrease	136
	3.4 Introduction of the GTE System	138
	4 Conclusions	139
	References	141
	The Influence of Accessibility on Residential Location	143
	1 Introduction	143
	1.1 Modeling Household Behavior	144
	1.2 The Scope of a Model	146
	1.3 The Context and Purpose of the Paper	147
	1.4 Price Determination and Location Choice	151
	2 An Integrated Framework for Location and Travel Choices	152
	2.1 Specifying the Activity-Trip Mapping	156
	2.2 Solving the Activity-Travel Problem	158
	3 Estimating the Travel Model	161