| Preface | 4 |
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| Prologue | 5 |
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| Contents | 28 |
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| Part I Non-standard Spatial Statistics | 33 |
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| 1 Introduction: Spatial Statistics | 34 |
| 2 Individual Versus Ecological Analyses | 35 |
| 2.1 Introduction | 35 |
| 2.2 Spatial Autocorrelation Effects | 35 |
| 2.3 Aggregation Impacts | 36 |
| 2.3.1 The Syracuse Data | 38 |
| 2.3.2 Previous Findings for Syracuse | 40 |
| 2.4 Spatial Autocorrelation in the Syracuse Data | 41 |
| 2.4.1 Spatial Autocorrelation in the Syracuse Data: LN(BLL + 1) Values | 41 |
| 2.4.2 Spatial Autocorrelation in the Syracuse Data: Appraised House Value | 43 |
| 2.5 Spatial Autocorrelation in the Syracuse Data: Other Sources | 46 |
| 2.6 Bayesian Analysis Using Gibbs Sampling (BUGS) and Model Prediction Experiments | 47 |
| 2.6.1 Results for the 2000 Census Tracts | 50 |
| 2.7 Discussion and Implications | 52 |
| 3 Statistical Models for Spatial Data: Some Linkages and Communalities | 54 |
| 3.1 Introduction | 54 |
| 3.2 Background: Quantifying Spatial Autocorrelation | 55 |
| 3.2.1 The Moran Scatterplot | 56 |
| 3.2.2 The Semivariogram Plot | 57 |
| 3.3 Specifications of Spatial Autoregressive and Geostatistical Models | 57 |
| 3.3.1 Spatial Autoregressive Models | 58 |
| 3.4 Geostatistical Models | 60 |
| 3.5 Linkages Between Spatial Autoregression and Geostatistics | 61 |
| 3.6 A Major Commonality of Spatial Autoregression and Geostatistics | 62 |
| 3.7 Implications for Quantitative Human Geography | 64 |
| 4 Frequency Distributions for Simulated Spatially Autocorrelated Random Variables | 65 |
| 4.1 Introduction | 65 |
| 4.2 The Normal Probability Model | 66 |
| 4.2.1 Simulating Spatially Autocorrelated Normal RVs | 67 |
| 4.2.2 Simulation Results for an Ideal Regular Hexagonal Surface Partitioning | 69 |
| 4.2.3 Simulation Results for the China County Geographic Configuration | 73 |
| 4.2.4 Implications | 76 |
| 4.3 The Poisson Probability Model | 78 |
| 4.3.1 Simulating Spatially Autocorrelated Poisson RVs | 80 |
| 4.3.1.1 MCMC Map Simulation | 81 |
| 4.3.1.2 SF Map Simulation | 83 |
| 4.3.2 Simulation Results for an Ideal Regular Hexagonal Surface Partitioning | 83 |
| 4.3.3 Simulation Results for the China County Geographic Configuration | 84 |
| 4.3.4 Implications | 88 |
| 4.4 The Binomial Probability Model, N | 88 |
| 90 | 88 |
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| 4.4.1 Simulating Spatially Autocorrelated Binomial RVs | 91 |
| 4.4.2 Simulation Results for an Ideal Regular Hexagonal Surface Partitioning | 93 |
| 4.4.3 Simulation Results for the China County Geographic Configuration | 96 |
| 4.4.4 Implications | 98 |
| 4.5 Discussion | 99 |
| 5 Understanding Correlations Among Spatial Processes | 102 |
| 5.1 Introduction | 102 |
| 5.2 Two Illustrative Examples | 102 |
| 5.3 Geostatistical Semivariogram Model Implications | 104 |
| 5.4 Spatial Autoregressive Model Implications | 109 |
| 5.4.1 Variance and Covariance Inflation Attributable to Spatial Autocorrelation | 112 |
| 5.4.2 Effective Sample Size as a Function of .X and .Y | 114 |
| 5.5 Spatial Filtering Model Implications | 116 |
| 5.5.1 Correlation Coefficient Decomposition | 117 |
| 5.5.2 Variance Inflation | 120 |
| 5.6 Discussion | 120 |
| 6 Spatially Structured Random Effects: A Comparison of Three Popular Specifications | 123 |
| 6.1 Introduction | 123 |
| 6.2 Modeling Spatial Structure | 123 |
| 6.3 Linear Mixed Models | 125 |
| 6.4 Generalized Linear Mixed Models | 131 |
| 6.5 Degrees of Freedom for GLMM Random Effects | 136 |
| 6.6 Extensions to Space-Time Data Sets | 137 |
| 6.7 Discussion and Implications | 140 |
| 7 Spatial Filter Versus Conventional Spatial Model Specifications: Some Comparisons | 142 |
| 7.1 Introduction | 142 |
| 7.1.1 Background | 142 |
| 7.2 Variation and Covariation Considerations for Poisson Random Variables | 145 |
| 7.2.1 Heterogeneity in Counts Data | 146 |
| 7.2.2 Spatial Autocorrelation in Poisson Random Variables | 149 |
| 7.2.3 Spatial Autocorrelation-induced Correlation Inflation | 151 |
| 7.3 Principal Spatial Statistical Model Specifications | 155 |
| 7.3.1 The Log-normal Approximation | 155 |
| 7.3.2 A Winsorized Auto-Poisson Model | 156 |
| 7.3.3 A Proper CAR Model Specification via GeoBUGS | 159 |
| 7.4 Spatial Filter Model Specifications | 161 |
| 7.4.1 The Log-normal Approximation Spatial Filter Model | 161 |
| 7.4.2 A Poisson Spatial Filter Model | 162 |
| 7.4.3 A Spatial Filter Model Specification via BUGS | 164 |
| 7.5 Discussion | 165 |
| 7.5.1 Cross-validation Results for the Poisson Spatial Filter Model | 166 |
| 7.5.2 A Simulation Experiment Based Upon the Poisson Spatial Filter Model | 166 |
| 7.5.3 Impacts of Incorporating Additional Information | 168 |
| 7.5.4 Implications for Data Mapping | 169 |
| 7.6 Concluding Comments | 172 |
| 8 The Role of Spatial Autocorrelation in Prioritizing Sites Within a Geographic Landscape | 175 |
| 8.1 Introduction: The Problem | 175 |
| 8.2 The Murray Superfund Site: Part I | 176 |
| 8.2.1 State-of-the-Art Practice | 177 |
| 8.
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