| Foreword | 7 |
|---|
| Acknowledgements | 10 |
|---|
| Summary | 12 |
|---|
| Contents | 13 |
|---|
| 1 Questioning Chance | 17 |
|---|
| 1.1 Introduction | 17 |
| 1.2 Different Uses of the Word Chance in the Sciences | 19 |
| 1.2.1 Chance in Quantum Mechanics and Mechanical Statistics | 20 |
| 1.2.2 Chance for the Statistician | 22 |
| 1.2.3 Chance for the Probability Theorist | 23 |
| 1.2.4 Chance for the Numerical Analyst and the Computer Scientist | 24 |
| Box 1.1 Generating Pseudo-Random Numbers | 25 |
| 1.2.5 Chance, Hazards, and Risks | 26 |
| 1.2.6 Life Tested by the Vagaries of the Environment During Its Long History | 27 |
| 2 Chance in Living Systems | 30 |
|---|
| 2.1 Chance and Necessity | 30 |
| 2.1.1 The Neutral Theory of Evolution: A Gentle Necessity | 31 |
| 2.1.2 The Couple Chance-Necessity | 32 |
| 2.1.3 Randomness and Evolution: The Necessity of Chance | 33 |
| 2.1.4 From the Gene to the Ecosystem: Chance in the Different Organisational Levels of Living Systems | 33 |
| 2.2 Known Genetic Diversification Mechanisms | 34 |
| 2.2.1 Gene Diversification: The Randomness of One-Off Mutations | 34 |
| Reminder: | 36 |
| 2.2.2 The Organisation and Plasticity of the Genome: The Vagaries of Piecewise Mutations | 37 |
| 2.2.2.1 Prokaryotes | 37 |
| Box 2.1 The Mixing of the Genome Schematic Representation of the Principal, Known Mechanisms | 38 |
| 2.2.2.2 Eukaryotes | 39 |
| 2.2.2.3 The Particular Case of Gene Duplication | 39 |
| 2.2.2.4 Epigenetics | 40 |
| 2.2.2.5 Conclusion: The Diversity of Genome Modification Mechanisms | 42 |
| 2.2.3 Reproduction and the Transmission of Genetic Information: Shuffling the Cards | 42 |
| 2.2.3.1 Sexual Reproduction: The Production of Gametes | 42 |
| 2.2.3.2 Sexual Reproduction: The Fertilisation and Fusion of Gametes | 44 |
| 2.2.3.3 Other Methods of Reproduction | 44 |
| 2.2.3.4 Horizontal and Vertical Transfers | 44 |
| 2.3 The Cell and the Organism: A Limited Randomness | 46 |
| 2.3.1 A Living Machine | 46 |
| 2.3.2 Individual Homogeneity, the Diversity of Organisms | 46 |
| 2.3.3 A Cooperative Structure | 48 |
| Box 2.2 Competition and Cooperation | 48 |
| 2.3.4 A Limited, But Efficient Randomness: The Immune and Olfactory Systems | 50 |
| 2.3.5 Using the Vagaries of the Environment | 52 |
| 2.3.6 Organisms and Changes in the Environment | 52 |
| 2.3.7 Random Behaviours | 52 |
| 2.4 Lineages, Populations and Species: Chance Encounters, Couplings, and Disturbances | 54 |
| Box 2.3 Populations, Metapopulations, Species | 54 |
| Theoretical Diagram: Populations, Metapopulations and Species | 55 |
| 2.5 The Main Sources of Biodiversity | 57 |
| 2.6 Evolution and Its Theories: The Randomness of Genetic Modifications | 58 |
| 2.7 Ecological Randomness: Live and Survive Together, Face Environmental Risks | 61 |
| Box 2.4 Competitive Exclusion | 62 |
| 2.7.1 The Neutral Theory of Biodiversity | 64 |
| 2.7.2 Spatial Distribution: Randomness and Necessity in the Environment | 65 |
| 2.7.3 Evolutional Interpretation in the Face of Risks: Necessary Diversification and the no Less Necessary Random Distribution | 66 |
| 2.7.3.1 Higher Plants and Their Spatial Distribution | 66 |
| Box 2.5 Co-evolution | 68 |
| Box 2.6 Frugivory and Seed Dissemination: The Use of Cecropia obtusa by the Bat, Artibeus jamaicensis | 70 |
| 2.7.3.2 And for Animals: Which Distributions? | 71 |
| 2.7.3.3 Micro-Organisms: At the Will of the Environment and of Others | 72 |
| 2.7.3.4 Deterministic and Random Movement | 72 |
| 2.7.4 The Dynamics of Biodiversity | 74 |
| 2.7.5 Measuring Biodiversity | 78 |
| 2.8 Randomness, Chaos and Complexity | 81 |
| 2.8.1 From Chaos to Randomness | 82 |
| 2.8.2 Intermittences | 84 |
| 2.8.3 Two Types of Randomness, Two Complexities | 84 |
| 2.9 Randomness and the Organisational Levels of Living Systems | 86 |
| Box 2.7 How do Living Systems Organise Themselves? | 87 |
| 2.10 Conclusion | 90 |
| 3 Lessons for Managing Living Systems | 94 |
|---|
| 3.1 Organisms | 94 |
| 3.2 Populations and Ecosystems | 95 |
| 3.3 Biodiversity | 96 |
| 3.4 Information and Genetic Heritage | 97 |
| 3.5 Conserving Genetic Resources | 97 |
| 3.6 Genetic Modification: Hybridisation and Selection | 97 |
| 3.7 Genetic Manipulation: Gene Insertion | 99 |
| 3.8 Cloning | 100 |
| 3.9 Active Molecules of Biological Origin | 101 |
| 3.10 Ecotox
|