: Donald RAPP
: Bubbles, Booms, and Busts The Rise and Fall of Financial Assets
: Copernicus
: 9780387876306
: 1
: CHF 23.90
:
: Naturwissenschaft
: English
: 274
: Wasserzeichen/DRM
: PC/MAC/eReader/Tablet
: PDF

This book provides a thorough explanation of the nature and history of booms, bubbles and busts in financial markets. The first part of the book deals with financial booms and bubbles and how they emerge, develop and collapse. It describes the distribution of wealth, inflation, rationality of bankers, monetary and fiscal policy, the role of central banks, tax policies, social security, US federal, state, municipal and personal debt, and valuation of common stocks.

The book describes historical boom/bust cycles including bubbles of the 1720s, the Florida land boom and the stock market in the 1920s, the depression of the 1930s, the S&L scandal of the 1980s, the great bull market of 1982-1995, the crash of 1987, the dot.com mania of 1995-2000, corporate swindles of the 1990s and 2000s, the sub-prime fiasco of the 2000s, and Japan in the late 20th century.

Most of the recent wealth generation has derived from increased debt and appreciation of paper assets. The architects of the new economics were Ronald Reagan and Arthur Greenspan. Inevitably, the US Government's cure for excessive spending and inadequate revenues is to increase spending and cut revenues. American voters must choose between 'tax and spend' Democrats and 'spend and borrow' Republicans. The theme of American finance was uttered by VP Cheney: 'Deficits don't matter'.



This book provides a thorough explanation of the nature and history of booms, bubbles and busts in financial markets. The first part of the book deals with financial booms and bubbles and how they emerge, develop and collapse. It describes the distribution of wealth, inflation, rationality of bankers, monetary and fiscal policy, the role of central banks, tax policies, social security, US federal, state, municipal and personal debt, and valuation of common stocks.

The book describes historical boom/bust cycles including bubbles of the 1720s, the Florida land boom and the stock market in the 1920s, the depression of the 1930s, the S&L scandal of the 1980s, the great bull market of 1982-1995, the crash of 1987, the dot.com mania of 1995-2000, corporate swindles of the 1990s and 2000s, the sub-prime fiasco of the 2000s, and Japan in the late 20th century.

Most of the recent wealth generation has derived from increased debt and appreciation of paper assets. The architects of the new economics were Ronald Reagan and Arthur Greenspan. Inevitably, the US Government's cure for excessive spending and inadequate revenues is to increase spending and cut revenues. American voters must choose between 'tax and spend' Democrats and 'spend and borrow' Republicans. The theme of American finance was uttered by VP Cheney: 'Deficits don't matter.'

Preface5
Contents10
Introduction: The Holland TulipMania of 1636–163713
THE NATURE OF MANIAS, BUBBLES, AND CRASHES16
INTRODUCTION16
THE HUMAN ELEMENT19
THE RISE OF MANIAS AND BUBBLES24
FUELING THE BOOM29
WEALTH AND INFLATION30
ASSET GROWTH VS. WEALTH: CAUSE AND EFFECT?30
INFLATION32
SPECULATIONS, BOOTSTRAPS AND SWINDLES38
THE RATIONALITY OF INVESTORS?39
THE RATIONALITY OF BANKERS AND EXPERTS?42
RATIONALITY OF BANKERS?42
RATIONALITY OF EXPERTS?48
MONETARY POLICY AND THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM54
FISCAL POLICY AND TAXES62
TAX POLICIES62
INCOME TAX62
ESTATE TAX66
THE ALTERNATIVE MINIMUM TAX69
INCOME TAX BRACKETS AND BUDGET DEFICITS71
CAPITAL GAINS74
SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE77
INEQUALITY80
WHY INEQUALITY PERSISTS AND EXPANDS80
INEQUALITY OF WEALTH IN THE UNITED STATES83
DEBT86
US FEDERAL DEBT87
STATE AND MUNICIPAL DEBT92
HOUSEHOLD AND MORTGAGE DEBT93
THE DOLLAR98
BANKRUPTCIES100
WORLD DEBT102
DEPOSIT INSURANCE103
REGULATION, DEREGULATION AND NO REGULATION106
PENSION PLANS109
CORPORATE PENSIONS109
DEFINED BENEFIT PLANS109
DEFINED CONTRIBUTION PLANS111
THE PUBLIC SECTOR114
THE VALUATION OF COMMON STOCKS116
INTERNAL FEEDBACK AND ENDOGENOUS RISK122
WHEN THE BUBBLE POPS124
NOTES126
A SHORT HISTORY OF BOOMS, BUBBLES, AND BUSTS132
THE NEW WORLD133
SOUTH SEAS BUBBLE133
JOHN LAW’S MISSISSIPPI COMPANY135
FLORIDA LAND BOOM OF THE 1920S136
THE RISE136
THE FALL137
UNDERLYING CAUSES138
THE ROARING 20S STOCK MARKET139
THE REAL ECONOMIC BOOM OF THE 1920S139
THE STOCK MARKET OF THE 1920S142
THE CRASH OF 1929145
THE GREAT DEPRESSION OF THE 1930S146
THE SAVINGS AND LOAN SCANDAL OF THE 1980S151
THE ORIGINAL PROBLEM151
DEREGULATION AND NO REGULATION156
HOW MR. REAGAN MADE A BAD PROBLEM WORSE158
THE FALSE SPRING OF 1983161
THE ‘‘GO–GO’’ PERIOD164
FRAUD AND MISCONDUCT166
THE AFTERMATH174
THE BULL MARKET OF 1982–1995176
THE CRASH OF 1987184
THE DOT.COM MANIA190
BOOM AND EUPHORIA190
GREENSPAN AND THE ROLE OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE192
BURSTING OF THE BUBBLE198
MERRILL-LYNCH IS BULLISH ON AMERICA199
OTHER BUBBLES AND SWINDLES OF THE LATE 1990S AND 2000S201
ADELPHIA202
ROGUE TRADERS AT BANKS203
BARINGS BANK203
ALLIED IRI SH BANKS204
SOCIETE GENERALE204
ENRON205
LONG-TERM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT210
ALBANIA’S PONZI SCHEMES219
CORPORATE AND ACCOUNTING SCANDALS221
THE SUB-PRIME REAL ESTATE BOOM 2001–2007235
ORIGIN OF THE BOOM235
EXPANSION OF THE BOOM237
RESIDENCES AS ATMS240
THE PUNCTURED BUBBLE244
MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES248
GOVERNMENT RESPONSE TO THE PUNCTURED BUBBLE252
INTERNATIONAL MORTGAGE DEBT253
THE HIDDEN TIME BOMB255
JAPAN AND EAST ASIA256
JAPAN 1970–2007256
BACKGROUND256
THE JAPANESE BOOM AND BUBBLE257
COLLAPSE OF THE JAPANESE BUBBLE261
EAST ASIA262
THE OIL BUBBLE265
THE NEXT BUBBLE271
NOTES275
Abbreviations283
Index285