| Contents | 5 |
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| Introduction | 7 |
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| Foundations | 12 |
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| Conjectures, Refutations and Discoveries: Incorporating New Knowledge in Models of Belief and Choice under Uncertainty | 13 |
| When an Event Makes a Difference | 30 |
| Countable Additivity and the Foundations of Bayesian Statistics | 36 |
| On the Quantification and Decomposition of Uncertainty | 43 |
| The Importance of Representational Tools in Understanding Behaviour Under Uncertainty and Risk | 62 |
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| Preference for Diversification with Similarity Considerations | 63 |
| Uncertainty Improves the Second-Best | 84 |
| Lorenz Meets Rating but Misses Valuation | 100 |
| A Deeper Look at Hyperbolic Discounting | 123 |
| The Assessment of Several Alternative Decision Rules | 149 |
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| Take-the-Best” and Other Simple Strategies: Why and When They Work Well with Binary Cues | 150 |
| On Generalized Secretary Problems | 183 |
| Voting on Alternatives or on Criteria? The Meta- Decision on Group Decision Procedures | 202 |
| Models of Risk Attitude Modelling and Methodological Issues | 215 |
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| Probabilistic Risk Analysis Versus Decision Analysis: Similarities, Differences and Illustrations | 216 |
| A Conjoint Measurement Based Rationale for Inducing Preferences | 236 |
| Active Search for Probability Information and Recall Performance: Is Probability an Outstanding Element in the Mental Representation of Risky Decisions? | 254 |
| Evolutionary Analysis of Risk Attitudes in Competitive Bidding Environments Using Simulation | 268 |
| Behavior in Risky Decisions: Focus on Risk Defusing | 284 |