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The Dynamics of Complex Urban Systems An Interdisciplinary Approach

:	Sergio Albeverio, Denise Andrey, Paolo Giordano, Alberto Vancheri
:	The Dynamics of Complex Urban Systems An Interdisciplinary Approach
:	Physica-Verlag
:	9783790819373
:	1
:	CHF 85.30
:

:	Volkswirtschaft
:	English

:	484
:	Wasserzeichen/DRM
:	PC/MAC/eReader/Tablet
:	PDF

This book contains the contributions presented at the international workshop 'The Dynamics of Complex Urban Systems: an interdisciplinary approach' held in Ascona, Switzerland in November 2004. Experts from several disciplines outline a conceptual framework for modeling and forecasting the dynamics of both growth-limited cities and megacities. Coverage reflects the various interdependencies between structural and social development.

	Preface	5
	Table of Contents	9
	Scientific Board	11
	List of Contributors	12
	Fifty Years of Urban Modeling: Macro-Statics to Micro-Dynamics	19
	1 Historical Antecedents	19
	2 The Time-Lines: Cities, Planning, Modeling	22
	3 Deconstructing the Urban Modeling Time-Line	26
	4 The Quest for Dynamics: The Macro Perspective	31
	5 Towards Micro Dynamics: Agents, Cells and the New Social Physics	33
	6 What Has Been Achieved: Retrospect and Prospect	35
	References	36
	Complexity: the Integrating Framework for Models of Urban and Regional Systems	39
	1 Introduction	39
	2 Evolutionary Complex Systems	40
	3 Dynamic, Spatial Urban Models	46
	4 Manufacturing Evolution	50
	5 Structural Attractors	55
	6 Conclusions	57
	References	58
	Ontogeny and Ontology in Complex Systems Modeling	60
	1 Introduction	60
	2 Dynamical Hierarchies	61
	3 Ontogeny	63
	4 The Network Model	66
	5 Discussion	70
	References	74
	A Model for Asystematic Mobility in Urban Space	76
	1 Introduction	76
	2 The Mobilis in Mobile Model	77
	3 Applications to Realistic Situations and Experiments	85
	4 Conclusions	89
	Acknowledgments	89
	References	89
	Preliminary Results of a Multi-Agent Traffic Simulation for Berlin	91
	1 Introduction	91
	2 The Model	92
	3 Set-Up of the Berlin Simulations	98
	4 Preliminary Results	103
	5 Discussion	106
	6 Summary and Conclusion	107
	References	107
	Hybrid Geographical Models of Urban Spatial Structure and Behaviour	111
	1 Introduction	111
	2 Microsimulation and Spatial Evolution	112
	3 Simple Models of the Urban Labour Market	114
	4 Semi-Aggregate Models of the Urban Labour Market	118
	5 An Interacting Fields Model	120
	6 Conclusions	123
	References	124
	Two Complexities and a Few Models	126
	1 Premises	126
	2 What Is a Good Model?	131
	3 Why Planning Is (Still) a Necessity and Why It Needs Models	132
	4 A Tool-Box for Planning	134
	5 The Time Machine	144
	Conclusions	153
	References	154
	Cities as Evolutionary Systems in Random Media1	157
	1 Introduction	157
	2 The Model	160
	3 First-Order Quenched Moment	162
	4 The Feynman–Kac Formula	163
	5 Lyapunov Exponents for	164
	6 Intermittency of	167
	7 Higher-Order Quenched Moments	169
	8 Adequacy of Moments	171
	9 Concluding Remarks	172
	Acknowledgements	173
	References	174
	Grilling the Grid: a Non-Ultimate (Nor Objective) Report on the Configurational Approach to Urban Phenomena	176
	1 Introduction	176
	2 The Configurational Approach: Conceptual Basis	178
	3 The Configurational Approach: Techniques and Methods	182
	4 Operational Techniques: the	182
	5 Operational Techniques: the	189
	6 Operational Techniques: Potentials, Limits and Integrations	191
	6 Conclusions	194
	References	195
	Validating and Calibrating Integrated Cellular Automata Based Models of Land Use Change	197
	1 Introduction	197
	2 The Validation Problem	199
	3 A Case Study of Calibration: ENVIRONMENT Explorer	207
	4 Semi-Automatic Calibration and Validation of Environment Explorer	211
	5 Results - The Pilot Case: ENVIRONMENT Explorer for the Netherlands	218
	6 Discussion	220
	7 Conclusions	221
	References	222
	Fractal Geometry for Measuring and Modelling Urban Patterns	224
	1 Some Features of Urban Patterns	224
	2 Fractal Models for Urban Patterns	229
	3 Measuring Fractal Behaviour of Urban Patterns	234
	4 Some Empirical Results	240
	5 Urban Pattern Morphogenesis as Self-Organisation Process	245
	5 Conceptual Conclusions	249
	Acknowledgments	252
	References	252
	Cartographic Data Sources for Figures	254
	The Dynamics of Complex Urban Systems: Theory and Application of the STASA-Model within the Scatter Project	255
	1 Introduction	255
	2 The Stuttgart Case City	256
	3 The STASA Land-Use and Transport Modelling Framework	258
	4 Results of the Simulated Scenarios	265
	References	273
	Study of Urban Developers’ Behavior in a Game Environment	275
	1 Introduction	275
	2 From “Memory” to “Delay:” Markov Process as a Landmark	276
	3 Description of the Experiment	279
	4 Analysis of the Experiment	282
	5 From Transition Rules to Integral Description of Participants' Behavior	287
	6 The Simulation Model of Participants' Behavior	288
	8 Evaluation of Model Results	290
	9 Behavior of the Human Participant Versus the Model	293
	Acknowledgements	294
	References	295
	Self-Organization and Optimization of Pedestrian and Vehicle Traffic in Urban Environments	297
	1 Spatio-Temporal Patterns in Pedestrian Flows	297
	2 Trail Formation	307
	3 Self-Organized Traffic Light Control	311
	4 Summary and Conclusions	316
	Acknowledgments	317
	References	317
	Multidimensional Events in Multilevel Systems	320
	1 Introduction	320
	2 Relations and Structure: Graphs and Networks Are Not Rich Enough	321
	2 Simplicial Complexes and Emergence	323
	3 Hierarchical Aggregation	324
	4 Alpha- and Beta-Aggregations in Lattices Hierarchies	325
	5 What Is a City?	326
	6 Multidimensional Connectivity and Q-Analysis	330
	7 Backcloth and Traffic in Multilevel Systems	332
	8 Polyhedral Events and Order-2 Dynamics	333
	9 Examples	336
	10 Conclusions	342
	Acknowledgement	343
	Reference