| Contents | 6 |
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| 1 Introduction: Historys Pathways | 9 |
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| 1.1 The Historians Tasks | 13 |
| 1.2 History of the Present | 14 |
| 1.3 Metaphors for History | 16 |
| 2 History and Narrative | 19 |
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| 2.1 Philosophy and the Historians | 19 |
| 2.2 What Is History | 22 |
| 2.2.1 Micro, Meso, Macro | 23 |
| 2.2.2 Longue Durée | 25 |
| 2.2.3 Marc Bloch's History | 27 |
| 2.2.4 Comparative History | 31 |
| 2.2.5 New Understandings of China's Cultural Revolution | 34 |
| 2.3 Narratives of History | 36 |
| 2.3.1 Selectivity: China at War | 39 |
| 2.3.2 Narrative and Bias | 40 |
| 2.3.3 History, Memory, and Narrative---Recent China | 42 |
| 2.3.4 Age Cohorts and Historical Experience | 44 |
| 2.3.5 Maps and Narratives | 45 |
| 3 Historical Concepts and Social Ontology | 48 |
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| 3.1 Ontology and Explanation | 48 |
| 3.1.1 Things | 49 |
| 3.1.2 Events | 51 |
| 3.2 Concepts and Kinds | 53 |
| 3.2.1 Historical Ontology of the French Revolution | 54 |
| 3.2.2 A Tabulation of Historical Ontology | 59 |
| 3.2.3 Do Historical Categories Capture Social Kinds? | 59 |
| 3.3 Methodological Localism | 64 |
| 3.4 The Heterogeneous Social | 69 |
| 3.4.1 Variation | 71 |
| 3.4.2 The Heterogeneous Social Whole | 73 |
| 3.4.3 What Cities Have in Common | 76 |
| 3.5 Conclusions | 78 |
| 4 Large Structures | 80 |
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| 4.1 Is France a Nation | 83 |
| 4.2 A Modern World System | 85 |
| 4.3 Revolutions of 1848 | 88 |
| 4.4 Explaining Fascism | 90 |
| 4.5 Generalizations | 92 |
| 4.5.1 Similarity and Difference | 94 |
| 4.6 Predictions | 96 |
| 4.7 The New Meso-History | 99 |
| 5 Causal Mechanisms | 103 |
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| 5.1 A Range of Causal Questions | 104 |
| 5.2 Causal Realism | 107 |
| 5.3 Examples of Social Mechanisms | 113 |
| 5.3.1 Transportation as a Large-Scale Historical Factor | 114 |
| 5.4 Many Small Causes | 118 |
| 5.4.1 Causes of the Chinese Revolution | 119 |
| 5.5 General and Specific Causal Hypotheses | 123 |
| 5.6 Causal Reasoning in Meso-History | 125 |
| 6 History of Technology | 127 |
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| 6.1 History of Electric Power | 128 |
| 6.2 Alternative Forms of Industrial Organization | 131 |
| 6.3 Railroads as a Historical Cause | 133 |
| 6.4 Water Transport in China | 137 |
| 6.5 Agriculture and the Natural Environment | 138 |
| 6.6 Warfare: The Franco-Prussian War | 139 |
| 6.7 Technology and Culture | 142 |
| 6.8 Observations from the Examples | 144 |
| 7 Economic History | 147 |
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| 7.1 What Is Economic History | 147 |
| 7.1.1 Explanation in Economic History | 149 |
| 7.1.2 Problems of Evidence | 152 |
| 7.2 Aspects of Chinas Rural Economy | 153 |
| 7.2.1 Agricultural History | 154 |
| 7.2.2 Assessment of Available Sources of Data | 157 |
| 7.3 Population History | 159 |
| 7.3.1 The Eurasia Project on Population and Family History | 161 |
| 7.4 Comparative Economic History | 165 |
| 7.4.1 Scale and Scope of Comparison | 167 |
| 7.4.2 Alternative Pathways of Development in Europe and Asia | 168 |
| 7.4.3 Agricultural Revolution and Stagnation Within Europe | 170 |
| 7.5 Contingency and Alternative Pathways of Development | 174 |
| 8 The Involution Debate | 177 |
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| 8.1 Chinas Early Modern Rural Economy | 177 |
| 8.2 Involution or Revolution in the Early Qing | 179 |
| 8.2.1 Population Trends | 182 |
| 8.2.2 Productivity | 182 |
| 8.2.3 Real Wage Comparisons | 184 |
| 8.2.4 Institutional Settings | 184 |
| 8.2.5 Environmental Exhaustion | 185 |
| 8.2.6 Conclusions on the Involution Debate | 187 |
| 8.3 Immiseration or Gradual Improvement in Republican China | 188 |
| 8.3.1 The Received View | 189 |
| 8.3.2 Revision | 190 |
| 8.3.3 Price Integration | 192 |
| 8.3.4 Output | 192 |
| 8.3.5 Real Wages | 193 |
| 8.3.6 Productivity | 195 |
| 8.3.7 Distributive Consequences | 196 |
| 8.3.8 Conclusion on Brandt | 197 |
| 8.4 A Puzzle | 197 |
| 8.5 Import for Chinese Studies | 198 |
| 9 Mentalits | 201 |
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| 9.1 Mentalits in Historical Inquiry | 202 |
| 9.2 Components of a Mentalit | 204 |
| 9.2.1 Interpretation of Historical Actors and Behaviors | 205 |
| 9.2.2 Darnton, The Great Cat Massacre | 209 |
| 9.3 How Is a Social Identity Created and Reproduced | 211 |
| 9.3.1 E. P. Thompson, The Making of the English Working Class | 214 |
| 9.4 Are Mentalits Stable Over Time | 217 |
| 9.5 Are Mentalits Historical Causes | 219 |
| 9.5.1 Charles Tilly and Contentious Politics | 220 |
| 9.6 Assessment | 221 |
| Conclusion | 223 |
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| References | 227 |
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| Index | 239 |